NZDUSD 2025.01.14 07:40:17 Flexity Analysis
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Flexity Analysis for NZDUSD



Forecast Overall(Short-Term, Long-Term): ST=Probably Down LT=Probably Down

Forecast Methods(Short-Term, Long-Term):
[Method0] ST=Down LT=Down

[Method1] ST=Down LT=Same

[Method2] ST=Up LT=Down



FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(0)


Here is the data structured and formatted in HTML for better readability:

NZD/USD Price Movement Analysis

Short-term (next few days)

Indicator Analysis
Price Movement Expected to continue falling, with a potential rebound downwards after testing the resistance area near 0.5585.
Trend Indicators Bearish trend indicators (descending channel) suggest a short-term bearish trend.
Oversold Conditions 14-day RSI below 30 may prompt a corrective bounce.
Price Momentum Pair remains below the 14- and nine-day EMAs, indicating weak short-term price momentum.
Initial Resistance Seen at the nine-day EMA around 0.5596.

Expected Price Movement: Down

Long-term (next few weeks/months)

  • Ongoing bearish bias and strong US Dollar expected to continue putting pressure on the NZD/USD pair.
  • Persistent strong downtrend influenced by New Zealand's recession and the robust US economy.
  • Technical indicators (three-candle morning star and falling wedge pattern) suggest a potential near-term bottom.
  • Fed's FOMC rate decision and US economic data will be crucial in determining the pair's long-term direction.

Expected Price Movement: Down, but with potential for a near-term bottom and reversal.

Please note that these assessments are based on the provided data and are subject to change as new information becomes available.


Result: [Method0] ST=Down LT=Down


FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(1)


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NZD/USD Pair Analysis Conclusions

Short-term (next few days/week):

Expectation Reasoning
Price expected to go down Descending channel and potential rebound downwards to the area below 0.5485
Corrective bounce possible RSI below 30, indicating oversold conditions
Potential impact from US PPI data Strong reading might boost the US Dollar and cap the NZD/USD pair's upside

Long-term (next few weeks/months):

Expectation Reasoning
Price expected to stay the same or be highly volatile Shift from US rates to global sentiment and trade war risks driving the pair
Potential increased uncertainty and volatility Return of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and potential renewed trade tensions between the US and China
Breakout levels to confirm trend change Above 0.5625 or below 0.5525

Important Note:

  • These conclusions are based on the provided analysis and may not reflect actual market movements.
  • Trading decisions should be made based on a comprehensive analysis of multiple sources and risk management strategies.

Result: [Method1] ST=Down LT=Same


FlexityIndicator Analysis Method(2)


Here is the data structured and formatted in HTML for better readability:

NZD/USD Price Movement Assessment

Short-term (next few days/week)

The price is expected to go up. The bullish signals, such as the +0.95% increase since the last closing, the bullish opening detected, and the potential for a break above the nine-day and 14-day EMA levels, suggest a short-term upward trend. The pair may test the descending channel's upper boundary at the 0.5800 level.

Long-term (next few weeks/months)

The price is expected to go down. Despite the short-term bullish signals, the midterm forecast indicates a down trend, and the pair is still within a descending channel. The major resistance level at 0.5799 and the potential for further downward pressure suggest that the long-term trend may prevail.

Key Levels to Watch

Level Type Level Value Description
Resistance 0.5708 Nine-day EMA
Resistance 0.5743 14-day EMA
Resistance 0.5799 Major resistance level
Support 0.5630 Lower boundary of the descending channel
Support 0.5607 26-month low

Please note that this analysis is based on the provided data and may not reflect the current market situation. It's always important to stay up-to-date with the latest market news and analysis before making any trading decisions.


Result: [Method2] ST=Up LT=Down